Morgan Stanley auto analyst Adam Jonas published a research note on Monday in which he assessed some trends for raid-hailing-services and taxi patronage in the city that never sleeps.
For traditional cabs, the story isn’t good.
“We believe that Uber now has a larger share of the mobility ‘pie’ in New York City than yellow taxis,” he wrote, adding that “trips/day, vehicles, and drivers have all increased substantially [year-over-year] across the board for rideshare apps, and decreased [year-over-year] for taxis.”
But perhaps the most startling data point that Jonas grappled with was the plummeting value of an NYC taxi medallion — in practice, a chunk of plastic affixed to a cab’s hood, and in effect a license to operate a taxi in the city:
[T]he impact on the taxi industry, both individual medallion owners and fleet operators, appears far worse than even the data … would indicate. Medallion values have fallen from a peak of roughly $1.3 million in 2014 to under $200,000 in certain cases (i.e. foreclosures). According to the NYC Taxi & Limousine Commission, recent medallion transfers range from roughly $400,000 to under $200,000, largely driven by declining revenue streams for the owners.